Current:Home > MyEconomic growth continues, as latest GDP data shows strong 3.3% pace last quarter-LoTradeCoin
Economic growth continues, as latest GDP data shows strong 3.3% pace last quarter
View Date:2024-12-23 23:18:13
The nation's economy grew at an unexpectedly brisk 3.3% annual pace from October through December as Americans showed a continued willingness to spend freely despite high interest rates and price levels that have frustrated many households.
Thursday's report from the Commerce Department said the gross domestic product — the economy's total output of goods and services — decelerated from its sizzling 4.9% growth rate the previous quarter. But the latest figures still reflected the surprising durability of the world's largest economy, marking the sixth straight quarter in which GDP has grown at an annual pace of 2% or more. Consumers fueled much of last quarter's expansion.
"Whichever way you slice it, this report caps a year of stellar economic growth performance, particularly with the backdrop of the Fed's aggressive monetary policy tightening cycle," Olu Sonola, head of U.S. regional economics for Fitch Group. "The momentum of economic growth going into 2024 is looking very good and presents an upside risk to growth going forward, despite widespread expectation of a slowdown in 2024. The Fed will likely not be in a hurry to cut rates, if the data continues to come in this hot."
For all of 2023, the economy grew 2.5%, up from 1.9% in 2022.
Slight improvement in consumer sentiment
The state of the economy is sure to weigh on people's minds ahead of the November elections. After an extended period of gloom, Americans are starting to feel somewhat better about inflation and the economy — a trend that could sustain consumer spending, fuel economic growth and potentially affect voters' decisions. A measure of consumer sentiment by the University of Michigan, for example, has jumped in the past two months by the most since 1991.
There is growing optimism that the Federal Reserve is on track to deliver a rare "soft landing" — raising borrowing rates enough to cool growth, hiring and inflation yet not so much as to send the economy into a tailspin. Inflation touched a four-decade high in 2022 but has since edged steadily lower without the painful layoffs that most economists had thought would be necessary to slow the acceleration of prices.
The economy's outlook had looked far bleaker a year ago. As recently as April 2023, an economic model published by the Conference Board, a business group, had pegged the likelihood of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months at close to 99%.
Even as inflation in the United States has slowed significantly, overall prices remain nearly 17% above where they were before the pandemic erupted three years ago, which has exasperated many Americans. That fact will likely raise a pivotal question for the nation's voters, many of whom are still feeling the lingering financial and psychological effects of the worst bout of inflation in four decades. Which will carry more weight in the presidential election: The sharp drop in inflation or the fact that most prices are well above where they were three years ago?
The Fed began raising its benchmark rate in March 2022 in response to the resurgence in inflation that accompanied the economy's recovery from the pandemic recession. By the time its hikes ended in July last year, the central bank had raised its influential rate from near zero to roughly 5.4%, the highest level since 2001.
As the Fed's rate hikes worked their way through the economy, year-over-year inflation slowed from 9.1% in June 2022, the fastest rate in four decades, to 3.4% as of last month. That marked a striking improvement but still leaves inflation above the Fed's 2% target.
The progress so far has come at surprisingly little economic cost. Employers have added a healthy 225,000 jobs a month over the past year. And unemployment has remained below 4% for 23 straight months, the longest such streak since the 1960s.
The once red-hot job market has cooled somewhat, easing pressure on companies to raise pay to keep or attract employees and then pass on their higher labor costs to their customers through price hikes.
It's happened in perhaps the least painful way: Employers are generally posting fewer job openings rather than laying off workers. That is partly because many companies are reluctant to risk losing workers after having been caught flat-footed when the economy roared back from the brief but brutal 2020 pandemic recession.
Another reason for the economy's sturdiness is that consumers emerged from the pandemic in surprisingly good financial shape, partly because tens of millions of households had received government stimulus checks. As a result, many consumers have managed to keep spending even in the face of rising prices and high interest rates.
Some economists have suggested that the economy will weaken in the coming months as pandemic savings are exhausted, credit card use nears its limits and higher borrowing rates curtail spending. Still, the government reported last week that consumers stepped up their spending at retailers in December, an upbeat end to the holiday shopping season.
Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at the tax and consulting firm RSM, said he thinks consumer spending is even stronger than the retail sales report indicated. Brusuelas suggested that the government data "did not adequately capture'' increased holiday splurging on travel and other services.
- In:
- Economy
- Inflation
veryGood! (576)
Related
- Republican Vos reelected as Wisconsin Assembly speaker despite losing seats, fights with Trump
- Princeton University grad student who went missing in Iraq being held by militia group, Israeli officials say
- The White House wants a robust electric vehicle charging network. Here's the plan
- See Shemar Moore’s Adorable Twinning Moment With Daughter Frankie
- Here's Your First Look at The White Lotus Season 3 With Blackpink’s Lisa and More Stars
- In 2021, climate ambitions soared and crashed in the U.S. and around the world
- Amazon birds are shrinking as the climate warms, prompting warning from scientists
- Pete Davidson and Chase Sui Wonders Enjoy an Eggs-Cellent Visit to Martha Stewart's Farm
- Gerry Faust, former Notre Dame football coach, dies at 89
- EPA announces tighter fuel economy standards for cars and trucks
Ranking
- Lou Donaldson, jazz saxophonist who blended many influences, dead at 98
- Mark Zuckerberg's first tweet in over a decade is playful jab at Elon Musk's Twitter
- India pledges net-zero emissions by 2070 — but also wants to expand coal mining
- In Iraq's famed marshlands, climate change is upending a way of life
- Maine dams face an uncertain future
- Earth sees third straight hottest day on record, though it's unofficial: Brutally hot
- Gavin Rossdale's Daughter Daisy Lowe Welcomes First Baby
- Nordstrom's Epic 70% Off Spring Sale Ends Today: Shop Deals From Madewell, Free People, Open Edit & More
Recommendation
-
Off the Grid: Sally breaks down USA TODAY's daily crossword puzzle, Something Corporate
-
Elton John bids farewell in last show of final tour
-
The White House wants a robust electric vehicle charging network. Here's the plan
-
Thousands protest in Glasgow and around the world for action against climate change
-
Man jailed after Tuskegee University shooting says he fired his gun, but denies shooting at anyone
-
Jane Goodall encourages all to act to save Earth in 'The Book of Hope'
-
Body found floating in Canadian river in 1975 identified as prominent U.S. businesswoman Jewell Lalla Langford
-
Pregnant Peta Murgatroyd and Maks Chmerkovskiy Share Glimpse Inside Tropical Baby Moon